Difference between revisions of "SOCR EduMaterials Activities ExpCarTimeExperiment"

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== Experiment ==
 
== Experiment ==
  
Go to the [http://www.socr.ucla.edu/htmls/SOCR_Experiments.html SOCR Experiments] and select the '''Exponential Car-Time Experiment''' from the drop-down list of experiments on the top left. The image below shows the initial view of this experiment:
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Go to the [http://www.socr.ucla.edu/htmls/SOCR_Experiments.html SOCR Experiments] and select the '''Exponential Car-Time Experiment''' from the drop-down list of experiments on the top left. The image below shows the initial view of this experiment with pointers and highlights of the most important components and controls:
 
<center>[[Image:SOCR_Activities_ExpCarTimeExperiment_Dinov_011908_Fig1.jpg|400px]]</center>
 
<center>[[Image:SOCR_Activities_ExpCarTimeExperiment_Dinov_011908_Fig1.jpg|400px]]</center>
  
  
Select the number of cars (k) and the rate of the exponential process (r). When pressing the '''play''' button, one trial will be executed that involves sampling k random exponential time variables (representing the between car times). The results will be displayed graphically in the two graph windows (timeline and histogram) for this process. Summary statistics and model vs. data distributions are shown in the distribution table below. The '''stop''' button ceases any activity and is helpful when the experimenter chooses a large number of cars (k is large). The '''reset''' button will clear and re-initialize the entire experiment, deleting all previous information and data collected.
+
Select the '''number of cars (k)''' and the '''rate of the exponential process (r)'''. When pressing the '''play''' button, one trial will be executed that involves sampling k random exponential time variables (representing the between car times). The results will be displayed graphically in the two graph windows (timeline and histogram) for this process. Summary statistics and model vs. data distributions are shown in the distribution table below. The '''stop''' button ceases any activity and is helpful when the experimenter chooses a large number of cars (k is large). The '''reset''' button will clear and re-initialize the entire experiment, deleting all previous information and data collected.
  
As the number of cars (k) increases, the distribution of the between-car times will have exponential-decay shape. Note that as the number of cars (k) increases, the empirical histogram (graph) and moments (table) of the random exponential times begin to converge to their corresponding Exponential distribution counterparts.
+
As the number of cars (k) increases, the distribution of the between-car times will have exponential-decay shape. Note that as the number of cars (k) increases, the empirical histogram (graph) and moments (table) of the random exponential times begin to converge to their corresponding Exponential distribution counterparts. Arrows point to the match of the empirical histogram of the between-car times and theoretical Exponential distribution, the random sample of between-car times (Y column of left table) and the similarity between the first two moments of the sample data and model (Exponential) distributions.
  
 
<center>[[Image:SOCR_Activities_ExpCarTimeExperiment_Dinov_011908_Fig2.jpg|400px]]</center>
 
<center>[[Image:SOCR_Activities_ExpCarTimeExperiment_Dinov_011908_Fig2.jpg|400px]]</center>

Revision as of 18:36, 19 January 2008

Exponential Time Car Activity

Description

TBD.


Goal

To provide an interactive simulation demonstrating exponential processes, exponential decay, simulation and model fitting. Additional aims are to:

  • Draw analogy between Gamma, Exponential and Poisson (discrete!)
  • Provide the means for (large) data generation/sampling
  • Provide the infrastructure for model-fitting and assessment.

Experiment

Go to the SOCR Experiments and select the Exponential Car-Time Experiment from the drop-down list of experiments on the top left. The image below shows the initial view of this experiment with pointers and highlights of the most important components and controls:

SOCR Activities ExpCarTimeExperiment Dinov 011908 Fig1.jpg


Select the number of cars (k) and the rate of the exponential process (r). When pressing the play button, one trial will be executed that involves sampling k random exponential time variables (representing the between car times). The results will be displayed graphically in the two graph windows (timeline and histogram) for this process. Summary statistics and model vs. data distributions are shown in the distribution table below. The stop button ceases any activity and is helpful when the experimenter chooses a large number of cars (k is large). The reset button will clear and re-initialize the entire experiment, deleting all previous information and data collected.

As the number of cars (k) increases, the distribution of the between-car times will have exponential-decay shape. Note that as the number of cars (k) increases, the empirical histogram (graph) and moments (table) of the random exponential times begin to converge to their corresponding Exponential distribution counterparts. Arrows point to the match of the empirical histogram of the between-car times and theoretical Exponential distribution, the random sample of between-car times (Y column of left table) and the similarity between the first two moments of the sample data and model (Exponential) distributions.

SOCR Activities ExpCarTimeExperiment Dinov 011908 Fig2.jpg

Applications

TBD Note that the Number of Arrivals in a fixed time-period follows Poisson distribution.



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