Difference between revisions of "AP Statistics Curriculum 2007 IntroVar"
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| − | Models & strategies for solving the problem | + | Models & strategies for solving the problem and understanding the data and inference. |
| − | * Once we | + | * Once we accept that all natural phenomena are inherently variant and there are no completely deterministic processes, we need to look for models and techniques that allow us to study such acquired data in the presence of variation, uncertainty and chance. |
| − | * '''Statistics''' is the data science that investigates natural processes and allows us to quantify variation | + | * '''Statistics''' is the data science that investigates natural processes and allows us to quantify variation to make population inference based on limited observations. |
==Model Validation== | ==Model Validation== | ||
Revision as of 22:13, 9 February 2008
General Advance-Placement (AP) Statistics Curriculum - Introduction to Statistics
Contents
The Nature of Data & Variation
No mater how controlled the environment, the protocol or the design, virtually any repeated measurement, observation, experiment, trial, study or survey is bound to generate data that varies because of intrinsic (internal to the system) or extrinsic (due to the ambient environment) effects.
For example, the UCLA's study of Alzheimer’s disease* analyzed the data of 31 MCI and 34 probable Alzheimer’s disease patients. The investigators made every attempt to control as many variables as possible, yet, the demographic information they collected from the outcomes of the subjects contained unavoidable variation. The same study found variation in the MMSE cognitive scores even in the same subjects.
Approach
Models & strategies for solving the problem and understanding the data and inference.
- Once we accept that all natural phenomena are inherently variant and there are no completely deterministic processes, we need to look for models and techniques that allow us to study such acquired data in the presence of variation, uncertainty and chance.
- Statistics is the data science that investigates natural processes and allows us to quantify variation to make population inference based on limited observations.
Model Validation
Checking/affirming underlying assumptions.
- Each model or technique for data exploration, analysis and understanding relies on a set of assumptions, which always need to be validated before the model or analysis tool is employed to study real data (observations or measurements that are perceived or detected by the investigator).
- Such a priori model conjectures or presumptions could take the form of mathematical constraints about the properties of the underlying process, restrictions on the study design or demands on the data acquisition protocol.
- Common assumptions include (statistical) independence of the measurements, specific limitations on the shape of the distribution that we sample/observe data from, restrictions on the parameters of the process we study, etc.
Computational Resources: Internet-based SOCR Tools
- The SOCR resource contains a variety of educational materials, demonstration applets and learning resource that illustrate data generation, experimentation, exploratory and statistical data analysis.
- (Numeric Pseudo-Random) Data Generation
- Interactive SOCR Experimentation with computer generated models of natural phenomena
- Exploratory Data Analysis
- Statistical Data Analysis
Examples
Computer simulations and real observed data.
- For example, exploratory data analysis using data histograms. This SOCR activity illustrates the generation and interpretation of the histogram of quantitative data.
Hands-on activities
Step-by-step practice problems.
References
- Apostolova LG, Dinov ID, Dutton RA, Hayashi KM, Toga AW, Cummings JL, Thompson PM. 3D comparison of hippocampal atrophy in amnestic mild cognitive impairment and Alzheimer's disease. Brain. 2006 Nov; 129(Pt 11):2867-73.
- SOCR Home page: http://www.socr.ucla.edu
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