SOCR Data US Elections Counties2004

SOCR Data - Popular vs. Electoral Vote in US Presidential Elections (1828-2008)

Data Description

Presidential Electoral Vote

These data represent the margin of victory in the popular vote in percentage points (e.g., explanatory variable) vs the margin of victory in the Electoral College in percentage points (e.g., response variable) for the winner in all Presidential Elections since 1828.

Source

• Presidential Election Mandates

Data Table

NAME	STATE_NAME	STATE_FIPS	CNTY_FIPS	PCountyFIPS	Bush	Kerry	Nader	Total	Bush_pct	Kerry_pct	Nader_pct	MDratio	hosp	pcthisp	pcturban	urbrural	pctfemhh	pcincome	pctpoor	pctlt9ed	pcthsed	pctcoled	unemploy	pctwhtcl	homevalu	rent	popdens	crowded	ginirev	SmokecurM	SmokevrM	SmokecurF	SmokevrF	Obese	Noins	XYLENES__M	TOLUENE	TETRACHLOR	STYRENE	NICKEL_COM	METHYLENE_	MERCURY_CO	LEAD_COMPO	BENZENE__I	ARSENIC_CO	POP2000	POP00SQMIL	MALE2000	FEMALE2000	MAL2FEM	UNDER18	AIAN	ASIA	BLACK	NHPI	WHITE	AIAN_MORE	ASIA_MORE	BLK_MORE	NHPI_MORE	WHT_MORE	HISP_LAT	CH19902000	MEDAGE2000	PEROVER65
Lake_of_the_Woods	Minnesota	27	77	27077	1428	921	27	2376	60.1010101	38.76262626	1.136363636	66.8	22.27	6	0	9	8	17856	10.6	14	75.2	11	4.1	44.4	40100	244	3.4	2.7	0.37	0.2	0.46	0.19	0.41	0.32	0.08	1158.19	1093.06	0.06	13.98	0.00645	85.51	0.00063	0.00181	331.37	0.000137	4522	3.5	2272	2250	101	24.7	1.1	0.2	0.3	0	97.2	1.9	0.4	0.6	0	98.2	0.6	10.9	41.6	17.2
Ferry	Washington	53	19	53019	1969	1156	57	3182	61.87932118	36.32935261	1.79132621	56.02	14.01	14	0	9	12.5	14340	23.7	8.8	72.6	12	13.3	41.2	47800	257	3.2	6	0.38	0.24	0.5	0.21	0.42	0.38	0.12	42.19	68.14	0.15	0.7	0.00308	0.94	0.000407	0.01	70.41	0.0067	7260	3.3	3764	3496	108	26.9	18.3	0.3	0.2	0.1	75.5	20.9	0.6	0.4	0.2	78.7	2.8	15.3	40	12.6
Stevens	Washington	53	65	53065	10789	5763	175	16727	64.50050816	34.45327913	1.04621271	87.75	5.32	16	14.1	6	10.6	15201	17.2	7.1	80.9	12.1	9.4	46.3	56800	306	14.7	4.3	0.41	0.22	0.43	0.23	0.39	0.23	0.12	95.46	166.35	5.35	2.51	0.01	5.35	0.00482	0.05	114.79	0.00767	40066	16.2	19940	20126	99	28.7	5.7	0.5	0.3	0.2	90	7.4	1	0.5	0.3	92.6	1.8	29.5	39.2	12.9
Okanogan	Washington	53	47	53047	8336	5511	134	13981	59.62377512	39.41778127	0.958443602	111.94	8.19	83	12.3	7	12.9	18253	21.5	12.3	71.3	12	10.5	41.9	50600	277	6.8	6.2	0.45	0.27	0.56	0.3	0.53	0.3	0.21	122.72	200.01	3.09	2.84	0.01	5.53	0.00322	0.03	168.55	0.0057	39564	7.5	19706	19858	99	27.7	11.5	0.4	0.3	0.1	75.3	13.2	0.8	0.5	0.2	77.9	14.4	18.6	38.2	14
...	...	...	...	...	...	...	...	...	...	...	...	...	...	...	...	...	...	...	...	...	...	...	...	...	...	...	...	...	...	...	...	...	...	...	...	...	...	...	...	...	...	...	...	...	...	...	...	...	...	...	...	...	...	...	...	...	...	...	...	...	...	...	...	...	...

The complete data file is available here (1.2MB text CSV file).

Example: Bubble Chart

You can paste these data in any of the SOCR Analyses or Charts to obtain quantitative results of explore the data graphically. For instance, you can paste these data in the SOCR Bubble Chart, map the variables (Year --> X, ElectoralVote --> Y, Diff(Popular-Electoral)Vote --> Z) and click UPDATE Graph to obtain the image below. Notice how the close elections are represented by smaller bubbles near the 50% of the electoral vote line, as the difference between the popular and the electoral votes for tight elections are small.

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