SOCR EduMaterials Activities Central Limit Theorem Chi square examples

From SOCR
Revision as of 16:44, 14 May 2007 by Create90215 (talk | contribs)
Jump to: navigation, search
  • Answer:
  • a. false, the standard deviation of the sample mean is \(\frac{\sigma}{\sqrt n}\). Thus as the sample size increases, n increases, and as n increases, the standard deviation decreases.
  • b. True
  • c. False, standard deviation of the sample mean is \(\frac{\sigma}{\sqrt n}\)
  • d. True, the standard deviation of the total of a sample of n observations is \(n\sqrt \sigma\); but the standard deviation of the sample mean is \(\frac{\sigma}{\sqrt n}.\)Unless n is one, the standard deviation of the total of a sample of n observations exceeds the standard deviation of the sample mean.
  • e. False, let's assume \(\sigma=2\) and \(n=2\). In this case, the z-score for \(P(\overline{X} > 4)\) would be -2.828 while the z-score for \(P(X>4)\) would be -2. \(P(Z>-2.828) > P(Z>-2) \). Therefore the statement is false.
  • Answer:
  • a. \(P(X \ge 1000)= P(X=1000)+P(X=1001)+....+P(X=1500)= (1500 \choose 1000) \times (.7)^1000 \times (.3)^500 + (1500 \choose 1001) \times (.7)^1001 \times (.3)^499 + ...+(1500 \choose 1500) \times (.7)^1500 \times (.3)^0 = \summation (\1500 \choose X) \times (.7)^X \times (.3)^1500-X\)
  • b. We can use the normal approximation to binomial\[\mu = np = 1500 \times 0.70 = 1050.\] and \(\sigma = \sqrt npq = \sqrt1500 \times 0.7 \times 0.3= 17.748.\)

\(P(X \ge 1000)= P(Z> \frac{999.5-1050}{17.748}=P(Z>-2.845)=.9977\)

  • Below you can see a snapshot for this approximation:
SOCR Activities CLT Christou example2.jpg
  • Answer:
  • a. \(\overline{X} \sim N(8, \frac{20}{\sqrt400}). P(\overline{X} <6.50) =P(Z<-1.5)=.0667\)
  • Below you can see a snapshot for this part:
SOCR Activities CLT Christou example3 a.jpg
  • b. ??
  • c. The central limit theorem states that the sample mean approaches the normal distribution as the sample size gets bigger. Usually, if \( n \ge 30\)we can assume that the sample mean approaches the normal distribution. In this case \(n=400\). Therefore n satisfies the requirement of a large n.
  • d.\(\overline{X} \sim N(8,1).\)According to the snapshot below, the middle 80% of this distribution is (6.721,9.279). Therefore \(w=8-6.721 =1.29\)
SOCR Activities Normal Christou example3 d.jpg
  • e. \(T \sim N(n\mu,\sigma\sqrt n).\) In this case, \(T \sim N(3200,400).\) We know that \(P(T>b) =.975.\)So now we need to find the 97.5th percentile of this distribution using SOCR. According to the SOCR snapshot below, the 97.5th percentile of this distribution is 3984. Therefore b=3984.
SOCR Activities Normal Christou example3 e.jpg
  • Answer:
  • a. \(\overline{X} \sim N(\mu, \frac{\sigma}{\sqrt n }\). In this case, \(\overline{X} \sim N(80000, 4518.48)\).
  • b. We can find the answer using SOCR. The answer is 0.004032. Please see snapshot below:
SOCR Activities Normal Christou example4 .jpg
  • c. We can find the answer right away using SOCR. Please see snapshots below:
This is the distribution for \(X\)
SOCR Activities Normal Christou example4 c.jpg
This is the distribution for \(\overline{X}\)
SOCR Activities Normal Christou example3 c2.jpg
  • The probabilities are 55.6% for one hour vs. 86.6% for sample mean. Therefore the sample mean is more likely to be greater than 75000 hours.
  • Answer:
  • a. According to the SOCR snapshot below, the 75th percentile is 0.006115.
SOCR Activities Normal Christou example5 aa.jpg
  • b.\(P(X>.01)=.13.\)We can see this in the snapshot below:
SOCR Activities Normal Christou example5 bb.jpg
  • \(P(R=2)= (5 \choose 2) \times .13^2 \times .87^3= 0.11128. \)
SOCR Activities Normal Christou example5 bc.jpg
  • c. i. \(X \sim N(.00032,.00192)\)
   ii. .0074
SOCR Activities Normal Christou example5 cc ii.jpg
   iii.One day's return is more likely to be greater than .007. 0.21 vs. .00022
This is the snapshot for \(P(X>.007)\)
SOCR Activities Normal Christou example5 cc iii 1.jpg
This is the snapshot for \(P(\overline{X}>.007)\)
SOCR Activities Normal Christou example5 cc iii 2.jpg
  • Answer: