SOCR Data Dinov 11 08 08 PresidentialElections

SOCR Data - Faculty Research Publications, Hirsch-Index and Citation Impact

Data Description

Presidential Electoral Vote

These data represent the margin of victory in the popular vote in percentage points (explanatory variable) vs the margin of victory in the Electoral College in percentage points (response variable, of course) for the leading two candidates in all Elections since 1828.

Source

• Presidential Election Mandates

Data Table

President	Election Year	popular vote		electoral vote		Difference between popular & electoral vote %
		%	advantage	%	advantage
Andrew Jackson	1828	56.1	12.5	68.2	36.4	12.1
Andrew Jackson	1832	54.2	16.8	76.0	59.0	21.8
Martin van Buren	1836	50.8	14.2	57.8	33.0	7.0
William Henry Harrison	1840	52.9	6.1	79.6	59.2	26.7
James K. Polk	1844	49.5	1.4	61.8	23.6	12.3
Zachary Taylor	1848	47.3	4.8	56.2	12.4	8.9
Franklin Pierce	1852	50.8	6.9	85.8	71.6	35.0
James Buchanan	1856	45.3	12.2	58.8	20.3	13.5
Abraham Lincoln	1860	39.9	10.4	59.4	35.6	19.5
Abraham Lincoln	1864	55.1	10.2	90.6	81.6	35.5
Ulysses S. Grant	1868	52.7	5.4	72.8	45.6	20.1
Ulysses S. Grant	1872	55.6	11.8	81.9	63.8	26.3
Rutherford B. Hayes	1876	48.0	-3.0	50.1	0.2	2.1
James Garfield	1880	48.3	0.1	58.0	16.0	9.7
Grover Cleveland - I	1884	48.9	0.7	54.6	9.2	5.7
Benjamin Harrison	1888	47.8	-0.8	58.1	16.2	10.3
Grover Cleveland - II	1892	46.0	3.0	62.4	29.7	16.4
William McKinley	1896	51.1	5.3	61.0	21.4	9.9
	1900	51.7	6.2	65.3	30.6	13.6
Theodore Roosevelt	1904	56.4	18.8	70.6	41.2	14.2
William Howard Taft	1908	51.6	8.6	66.5	33.0	14.9
Woodrow Wilson	1912	41.8	14.4	81.9	65.3	40.1
	1916	49.2	3.1	52.2	4.4	3.0
Warren G. Harding	1920	60.3	26.2	76.1	52.2	15.8
Calvin Coolidge	1924	54.0	25.2	71.9	46.3	17.9
Herbert Hoover	1928	58.2	17.4	83.6	67.2	25.4
Franklin D. Roosevelt	1932	57.4	17.8	88.9	77.8	31.5
	1936	60.8	24.3	98.5	97.0	37.7
	1940	54.7	9.9	84.6	69.2	29.9
	1944	53.4	7.5	81.4	62.8	28.0
Harry S. Truman	1948	49.5	4.4	57.1	21.5	7.6
Dwight D. Eisenhower	1952	54.9	10.5	83.2	66.4	28.3
	1956	57.4	15.4	86.1	72.4	28.7
John F. Kennedy	1960	49.7	0.2	56.4	15.6	6.7
Lyndon B. Johnson	1964	61.1	22.6	90.3	80.6	29.2
Richard Nixon	1968	43.4	0.7	55.9	20.4	12.5
	1972	60.7	23.2	96.7	93.5	36.0
Jimmy Carter	1976	50.1	2.1	55.2	10.6	5.1
Ronald Reagan	1980	50.7	9.7	90.9	81.8	40.2
	1984	58.8	18.2	97.6	95.2	38.8
George Bush	1988	53.4	7.8	79.2	58.6	25.8
William J. Clinton	1992	43.0	5.6	68.8	37.6	25.8
	1996	49.2	8.5	70.4	40.8	21.2
George W. Bush	2000	47.9	-0.5	50.4	1.0	2.5
	2004	50.7	2.4	53.2	6.5	2.5
Barack Obama	2008	52.6	6.44	69.3	37.55	16.7

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