SOCR Data Dinov 11 08 08 PresidentialElections
Contents
SOCR Data - Popular vs. Electoral Vote in US Presidential Elections (1828-2008)
Data Description
These data represent the margin of victory in the popular vote in percentage points (e.g., explanatory variable) vs the margin of victory in the Electoral College in percentage points (e.g., response variable) for the winner in all Presidential Elections since 1828.
Source
Data Table
| President | Election Year | popular vote | electoral vote | Difference between popular & electoral vote % | ||
| % | advantage | % | advantage | |||
| Andrew_Jackson | 1828 | 56.1 | 12.5 | 68.2 | 36.4 | 12.1 |
| Andrew_Jackson | 1832 | 54.2 | 16.8 | 76.0 | 59.0 | 21.8 |
| Martin_van_Buren | 1836 | 50.8 | 14.2 | 57.8 | 33.0 | 7.0 |
| William_Henry_Harrison | 1840 | 52.9 | 6.1 | 79.6 | 59.2 | 26.7 |
| James_K_Polk | 1844 | 49.5 | 1.4 | 61.8 | 23.6 | 12.3 |
| Zachary_Taylor | 1848 | 47.3 | 4.8 | 56.2 | 12.4 | 8.9 |
| Franklin_Pierce | 1852 | 50.8 | 6.9 | 85.8 | 71.6 | 35.0 |
| James_Buchanan | 1856 | 45.3 | 12.2 | 58.8 | 20.3 | 13.5 |
| Abraham_Lincoln | 1860 | 39.9 | 10.4 | 59.4 | 35.6 | 19.5 |
| Abraham_Lincoln | 1864 | 55.1 | 10.2 | 90.6 | 81.6 | 35.5 |
| Ulysses_S_Grant | 1868 | 52.7 | 5.4 | 72.8 | 45.6 | 20.1 |
| Ulysses_S_Grant | 1872 | 55.6 | 11.8 | 81.9 | 63.8 | 26.3 |
| Rutherford_B_Hayes | 1876 | 48.0 | -3.0 | 50.1 | 0.2 | 2.1 |
| James_Garfield | 1880 | 48.3 | 0.1 | 58.0 | 16.0 | 9.7 |
| Grover_Cleveland_I | 1884 | 48.9 | 0.7 | 54.6 | 9.2 | 5.7 |
| Benjamin_Harrison | 1888 | 47.8 | -0.8 | 58.1 | 16.2 | 10.3 |
| Grover_Cleveland_II | 1892 | 46.0 | 3.0 | 62.4 | 29.7 | 16.4 |
| William_McKinley | 1896 | 51.1 | 5.3 | 61.0 | 21.4 | 9.9 |
| William_McKinley | 1900 | 51.7 | 6.2 | 65.3 | 30.6 | 13.6 |
| Theodore_Roosevelt | 1904 | 56.4 | 18.8 | 70.6 | 41.2 | 14.2 |
| William_Howard_Taft | 1908 | 51.6 | 8.6 | 66.5 | 33.0 | 14.9 |
| Woodrow_Wilson | 1912 | 41.8 | 14.4 | 81.9 | 65.3 | 40.1 |
| Woodrow_Wilson | 1916 | 49.2 | 3.1 | 52.2 | 4.4 | 3.0 |
| Warren_G_Harding | 1920 | 60.3 | 26.2 | 76.1 | 52.2 | 15.8 |
| Calvin_Coolidge | 1924 | 54.0 | 25.2 | 71.9 | 46.3 | 17.9 |
| Herbert_Hoover | 1928 | 58.2 | 17.4 | 83.6 | 67.2 | 25.4 |
| Franklin_D_Roosevelt | 1932 | 57.4 | 17.8 | 88.9 | 77.8 | 31.5 |
| Franklin_D_Roosevelt | 1936 | 60.8 | 24.3 | 98.5 | 97.0 | 37.7 |
| Franklin_D_Roosevelt | 1940 | 54.7 | 9.9 | 84.6 | 69.2 | 29.9 |
| Franklin_D_Roosevelt | 1944 | 53.4 | 7.5 | 81.4 | 62.8 | 28.0 |
| Harry_S_Truman | 1948 | 49.5 | 4.4 | 57.1 | 21.5 | 7.6 |
| Dwight_D_Eisenhower | 1952 | 54.9 | 10.5 | 83.2 | 66.4 | 28.3 |
| Dwight_D_Eisenhower | 1956 | 57.4 | 15.4 | 86.1 | 72.4 | 28.7 |
| John_F_Kennedy | 1960 | 49.7 | 0.2 | 56.4 | 15.6 | 6.7 |
| Lyndon_B_Johnson | 1964 | 61.1 | 22.6 | 90.3 | 80.6 | 29.2 |
| Richard_Nixon | 1968 | 43.4 | 0.7 | 55.9 | 20.4 | 12.5 |
| Richard_Nixon | 1972 | 60.7 | 23.2 | 96.7 | 93.5 | 36.0 |
| Jimmy_Carter | 1976 | 50.1 | 2.1 | 55.2 | 10.6 | 5.1 |
| Ronald_Reagan | 1980 | 50.7 | 9.7 | 90.9 | 81.8 | 40.2 |
| Ronald_Reagan | 1984 | 58.8 | 18.2 | 97.6 | 95.2 | 38.8 |
| George_HW_Bush | 1988 | 53.4 | 7.8 | 79.2 | 58.6 | 25.8 |
| William_J_Clinton | 1992 | 43.0 | 5.6 | 68.8 | 37.6 | 25.8 |
| William_J_Clinton | 1996 | 49.2 | 8.5 | 70.4 | 40.8 | 21.2 |
| George_W_Bush | 2000 | 47.9 | -0.5 | 50.4 | 1.0 | 2.5 |
| George_W_Bush | 2004 | 50.7 | 2.4 | 53.2 | 6.5 | 2.5 |
| Barack_Obama | 2008 | 52.6 | 6.44 | 69.3 | 37.55 | 16.7 |
- SOCR Home page: http://www.socr.ucla.edu
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