SOCR Data Dinov 11 08 08 PresidentialElections

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SOCR Data - Faculty Research Publications, Hirsch-Index and Citation Impact

Data Description

These data represent the margin of victory in the popular vote in percentage points (explanatory variable) vs the margin of victory in the Electoral College in percentage points (response variable, of course) for the leading two candidates in all Elections since 1828.

Source

Data Table

President Election Year popular vote electoral vote Difference between popular & electoral vote %
% advantage % advantage
Andrew Jackson 1828 56.1 12.5 68.2 36.4 12.1
Andrew Jackson 1832 54.2 16.8 76.0 59.0 21.8
Martin van Buren 1836 50.8 14.2 57.8 33.0 7.0
William Henry Harrison 1840 52.9 6.1 79.6 59.2 26.7
James K. Polk 1844 49.5 1.4 61.8 23.6 12.3
Zachary Taylor 1848 47.3 4.8 56.2 12.4 8.9
Franklin Pierce 1852 50.8 6.9 85.8 71.6 35.0
James Buchanan 1856 45.3 12.2 58.8 20.3 13.5
Abraham Lincoln 1860 39.9 10.4 59.4 35.6 19.5
Abraham Lincoln 1864 55.1 10.2 90.6 81.6 35.5
Ulysses S. Grant 1868 52.7 5.4 72.8 45.6 20.1
Ulysses S. Grant 1872 55.6 11.8 81.9 63.8 26.3
Rutherford B. Hayes 1876 48.0 -3.0 50.1 0.2 2.1
James Garfield 1880 48.3 0.1 58.0 16.0 9.7
Grover Cleveland - I 1884 48.9 0.7 54.6 9.2 5.7
Benjamin Harrison 1888 47.8 -0.8 58.1 16.2 10.3
Grover Cleveland - II 1892 46.0 3.0 62.4 29.7 16.4
William McKinley 1896 51.1 5.3 61.0 21.4 9.9
1900 51.7 6.2 65.3 30.6 13.6
Theodore Roosevelt 1904 56.4 18.8 70.6 41.2 14.2
William Howard Taft 1908 51.6 8.6 66.5 33.0 14.9
Woodrow Wilson 1912 41.8 14.4 81.9 65.3 40.1
1916 49.2 3.1 52.2 4.4 3.0
Warren G. Harding 1920 60.3 26.2 76.1 52.2 15.8
Calvin Coolidge 1924 54.0 25.2 71.9 46.3 17.9
Herbert Hoover 1928 58.2 17.4 83.6 67.2 25.4
Franklin D. Roosevelt 1932 57.4 17.8 88.9 77.8 31.5
1936 60.8 24.3 98.5 97.0 37.7
1940 54.7 9.9 84.6 69.2 29.9
1944 53.4 7.5 81.4 62.8 28.0
Harry S. Truman 1948 49.5 4.4 57.1 21.5 7.6
Dwight D. Eisenhower 1952 54.9 10.5 83.2 66.4 28.3
1956 57.4 15.4 86.1 72.4 28.7
John F. Kennedy 1960 49.7 0.2 56.4 15.6 6.7
Lyndon B. Johnson 1964 61.1 22.6 90.3 80.6 29.2
Richard Nixon 1968 43.4 0.7 55.9 20.4 12.5
1972 60.7 23.2 96.7 93.5 36.0
Jimmy Carter 1976 50.1 2.1 55.2 10.6 5.1
Ronald Reagan 1980 50.7 9.7 90.9 81.8 40.2
1984 58.8 18.2 97.6 95.2 38.8
George Bush 1988 53.4 7.8 79.2 58.6 25.8
William J. Clinton 1992 43.0 5.6 68.8 37.6 25.8
1996 49.2 8.5 70.4 40.8 21.2
George W. Bush 2000 47.9 -0.5 50.4 1.0 2.5
2004 50.7 2.4 53.2 6.5 2.5
Barack Obama 2008 52.6 6.44 69.3 37.55 16.7



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